IN and NC: head fakes and decision trees
![Image](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4PWDajYi98Fz15pCT2yK_uxuDCc8_lmg8ueBUAGcE83zxtSwJI4F-Vn1Rw67corEsuffLq14LHhCohXPRpn7cCMBfC36p9myKrmKRt_AeYVchLeHeF-WLdC7R94Yw_B3yR8zK/s400/oh.png)
This Dem primary has been invaluable in the sense that it has been a goldmine for the demographics of the liberal, Democratic-leaning electorate. In a post I did a while back, I compared the primary outcomes for Ohio to Wisconsin and found that the two looked remarkably different: Wisconsin is not a rust belt state like OH and PA and hence economic concerns (especially NAFTA-gate, which turned out to have been wholly false) play a greater role in the voters’ consideration. Wisconsin has a much more diverse economic foundation and thus I think Wisconsin was more receptive to idealistic arguments than mere pocketbook and standard of living ones. The electoral maps of Ohio and Wisocnsin are almost inverted: Obama consistently does well in urban areas but the rural regions of both states were played quite differently. Like many others, I predicted that the PA map would resemble Ohio more than Wisconsin, and that turned out to indeed be the case: It's interesting to note that Indiana