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"America has two great dominant strands of political thought - conservatism, which, at its very best, draws lines that should not be crossed; and progressivism, which, at its very best, breaks down barriers that should never have been erected." -- Bill Clinton, Dedication of the Clinton Presidential Library, November 2004

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Saturday, February 07, 2004


winning WA! recount NH?

posted by Aziz P. at Saturday, February 07, 2004 permalink View blog reactions
interesting analysis that shows Dean lost by a much smaller margin to Kerry on hand-counted ballots, whereas Diebold machine-counted votes favored Kerry by an enormous margin. Calling for a recount seems potentially risky though.

In other news, several reports have suggested that Dean may be beating Kerry in WA state thus far - but the official counts still show Kerry in the lead (54% to 28%, with only 21% of precincts reporting). We are definitely getting delegates out of this one, though!

UPDATE: with 32% of the precincts reporting, Dean gains to 29% and Kerry slips to 50% ...

UPDATE 2: with 34% reporting, Dean slips back to 28%, Kerry falls still further to 44%, and Kucinich rises to 14%. It's clear that Kucinich's rise is at the expense of Kerry, not Dean. If Kucinich "spoils" it for Kerry, while Dean stays constant, there's a great chance Dean can eke out a win.

UPDATE 3: with 49% reporting, Kerry is back up to 48%, but Dean has also gained to 31%, and Kucinich recedes to 8%. This is a real heady race - it's clear that the numbers are volatile. Still, now that half the precincts are done reporting, it's harder for any single precinct to dramatically affect the numbers. The volatility should decrease unless there's a big pocket of Kucinich supporters out there ready to bolt Dean-wards.


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About Nation-Building

Nation-Building was founded by Aziz Poonawalla in August 2002 under the name Dean Nation. Dean Nation was the very first weblog devoted to a presidential candidate, Howard Dean, and became the vanguard of the Dean netroot phenomenon, raising over $40,000 for the Dean campaign, pioneering the use of Meetup, and enjoying the attention of the campaign itself, with Joe Trippi a regular reader (and sometime commentor). Howard Dean himself even left a comment once. Dean Nation was a group weblog effort and counts among its alumni many of the progressive blogsphere's leading talent including Jerome Armstrong, Matthew Yglesias, and Ezra Klein. After the election in 2004, the blog refocused onto the theme of "purple politics", formally changing its name to Nation-Building in June 2006. The primary focus of the blog is on articulating purple-state policy at home and pragmatic liberal interventionism abroad.