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"America has two great dominant strands of political thought - conservatism, which, at its very best, draws lines that should not be crossed; and progressivism, which, at its very best, breaks down barriers that should never have been erected." -- Bill Clinton, Dedication of the Clinton Presidential Library, November 2004

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Monday, February 02, 2004


The 15% Solution

posted by Dana at Monday, February 02, 2004 permalink View blog reactions
Clinton's famous line of fighting "until the last dog dies" is fitting this morning.

That's what the Dean grassroots have to do tomorrow. Because a lot of media pundits will want to stick a fork in us after the results come in.

But we're fighting, in every state. Jason Gervich sent a letter he got printed in the Arizona Republic on Dean's electability. The o-blog is filled with heart-warming stories of Dean visibility in New Mexico, in North Dakota, in Delaware -- in all the February 3 states.

And the Good Doctor himself has been racing across the country like a man possessed, rallying the troops. Even Roy Neel has found a more down-home voice on the o-blog.

Just so we're crystal clear on what we need tomorrow.


We can get delegates in any Congressional District where Dean scores 15% of the vote. Even if we get, say, 8% in one state, we still score delegates if it's 15% in a CD.

And not all these races are primaries, either. North Dakota is a caucus. Governor Dean drew over 500 to a North Dakota rally just a few months ago. We can do well there if we just show up.

Also, ignore the spin. This is last-gasp time for Lieberman, Sharpton, Edwards, and Clark -- not us. If Lieberman gets shut-out, if Sharpton or Edwards can't win South Carolina, and if Clark can't win Oklahoma, they're gone. That's OK -- it brings the one-on-one contest with Kerry closer. And if any of these candidates scores a breakthrough tomorrow that's also good, because it slows Kerry's momentum.

We don't have to win. So if we do win anywhere it's huge. And we have a great organization, especially in the Hispanic communities, in New Mexico and Arizona. We've got a ton of fans in North Dakota. We've been organizing Delaware. (I hope I'm not leaving anyone out.) Just remember, tomorrow is about delegates, not ultimate victory.

Let's get some delegates. Remember the 15% solution. Better days are coming.


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About Nation-Building

Nation-Building was founded by Aziz Poonawalla in August 2002 under the name Dean Nation. Dean Nation was the very first weblog devoted to a presidential candidate, Howard Dean, and became the vanguard of the Dean netroot phenomenon, raising over $40,000 for the Dean campaign, pioneering the use of Meetup, and enjoying the attention of the campaign itself, with Joe Trippi a regular reader (and sometime commentor). Howard Dean himself even left a comment once. Dean Nation was a group weblog effort and counts among its alumni many of the progressive blogsphere's leading talent including Jerome Armstrong, Matthew Yglesias, and Ezra Klein. After the election in 2004, the blog refocused onto the theme of "purple politics", formally changing its name to Nation-Building in June 2006. The primary focus of the blog is on articulating purple-state policy at home and pragmatic liberal interventionism abroad.