Wednesday, December 10, 2003
It's still Dean's to lose http://dean2004.blogspot.com/2003_12_07_atrios_archive.html#107101406000804192
I think Iowa and New Hampshire are going to be much less important than they even usually are (which is hardly at all - it just gives the lazy media a way to tell a simple story and make the lead up to them "exciting). Dean will possibly have a lousy Super Tuesday on February 3rd. And, given the way the delegates are being awarded this year - no winner take all and by congressional district - even a popular win in a state can translate into a small or even nonexistent delegate lead (I'm not gonna buy into any Grand Superdelegate Conspiracies for the moment).
There isn't much polling data for most states other than NH and and Iowa. Dean's doing horribly in South Carolina, the next "important state." If Dean manages to run a good campaign for the other Super Tuesday states - Oklahoma, Arizona, New Mexico, Delaware, Missouri, North Dakota - then we'll have a serious race.
Momentum matters, but Iowa and New Hampshire aren't really enough.
We need to maintain our commitment and not regard Gore's endorsement as any kind of fait accompli. It will help, but the way to win is to continue the long, hard slog that Dean has been immersed in all this time. We have a long way to go.
And also remember that we walked away from $19 Million dollars. Having told Dean not to use federal funds, we have a duty to step to the plate.
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Obama 2008 - I want my country back
Nation-Building was founded by Aziz Poonawalla in August 2002 under the name Dean Nation. Dean Nation was the very first weblog devoted to a presidential candidate, Howard Dean, and became the vanguard of the Dean netroot phenomenon, raising over $40,000 for the Dean campaign, pioneering the use of Meetup, and enjoying the attention of the campaign itself, with Joe Trippi a regular reader (and sometime commentor). Howard Dean himself even left a comment once. Dean Nation was a group weblog effort and counts among its alumni many of the progressive blogsphere's leading talent including Jerome Armstrong, Matthew Yglesias, and Ezra Klein. After the election in 2004, the blog refocused onto the theme of "purple politics", formally changing its name to Nation-Building in June 2006. The primary focus of the blog is on articulating purple-state policy at home and pragmatic liberal interventionism abroad.