Dean & Gore: Perspectives
Woohoo! Gore's on the team! But what does this mean in real terms?
Dean: Already pulling away from the pack in a major national poll "pre-Gore" things look good for Dean. 8 points ahead nationally. 20-30 points ahead in New Hampshire -- please note, McCain was never that far ahead of Bush in 2000, and he still won. Leading in Iowa, especially among likely caucus goers, and with many first-time caucus goers probably not being counted.
Gore's endorsement comes at a great time. Though Dean supporters have been invaluable in terms of financial support -- and please give, or give more if you can! -- Gore can bring his formidable fundraising skills to the campaign in the last few weeks of the 4th quarter, giving us one more final boost going into Iowa and New Hampshire. I won't speculate as to what the numbers will look like, but even if Gore helped raise some big money, I betcha we will still have one of the lowest per contribution averages because our campaign is so diversified and our number of donors so huge -- that's a good thing! Further, with so many Dems undecided both nationally and in statewide polls, Gore's support could tip the balance unquestionably toward Dean. In most polls, Gore's numbers were even or just under Hillary's. If, conservatively, Gore's support means 10 points for Dean, that means we are pulling away fast and well outside almost any margin of error. Let's see if that plays through, but my instincts say that it will.
Gore: This can only be good for Gore. He and Dean have made a mutually beneficial partnership. All motives aside and come what may, Gore has secured a role as a player and a leader with a future in the Democratic Party.
Please check out my take on Wesley Clark, the primary, the rest of the candidates, and the endgame at Points West.
Dean: Already pulling away from the pack in a major national poll "pre-Gore" things look good for Dean. 8 points ahead nationally. 20-30 points ahead in New Hampshire -- please note, McCain was never that far ahead of Bush in 2000, and he still won. Leading in Iowa, especially among likely caucus goers, and with many first-time caucus goers probably not being counted.
Gore's endorsement comes at a great time. Though Dean supporters have been invaluable in terms of financial support -- and please give, or give more if you can! -- Gore can bring his formidable fundraising skills to the campaign in the last few weeks of the 4th quarter, giving us one more final boost going into Iowa and New Hampshire. I won't speculate as to what the numbers will look like, but even if Gore helped raise some big money, I betcha we will still have one of the lowest per contribution averages because our campaign is so diversified and our number of donors so huge -- that's a good thing! Further, with so many Dems undecided both nationally and in statewide polls, Gore's support could tip the balance unquestionably toward Dean. In most polls, Gore's numbers were even or just under Hillary's. If, conservatively, Gore's support means 10 points for Dean, that means we are pulling away fast and well outside almost any margin of error. Let's see if that plays through, but my instincts say that it will.
Gore: This can only be good for Gore. He and Dean have made a mutually beneficial partnership. All motives aside and come what may, Gore has secured a role as a player and a leader with a future in the Democratic Party.
Please check out my take on Wesley Clark, the primary, the rest of the candidates, and the endgame at Points West.
Comments