Freepers in shock over Bush invoice

Bush's announcement last night that he wanted an additional $87,000,000,000 for Iraq (including some pittance for Afghanistan) has even shocked the Free Republic crowd. That thread is a goldmine of anti-Bush disparaging taglines.

Remember the "Iraqi oil pays for reconstrction" argument? I analyzed that fallacy back in April:

Suppose reconstruction costs $100 billion, and only takes 1 year. At $30 a barrel of oil, that amounts to 3 billion barrels (about 8 million barrels per day, or bbl/d). This is equal to Saudi Arabia's current output (and Iraq does not have anywhere near Saudi Arabia's reserves, nor the oil infrastructure to process and refine such a colossal amount of oil even if it did). In addition to the ludicrously cheap and quick estimate of the reconstruction cost and duration above, note that there is also an implicit assumption that every dollar of revenue will go to reconstruction cost, without any middlemen (which as anyone familiar with the oil industry knows, is a laughable assertion).


Back in April it was obvious that "oil pays" was nonsensical. Suddenly the media is surprised.

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