Dukakis on Dean & Kerry

Former Bay State Gov. Michael S. Dukakis downplayed the Dean phenomenon and said Kerry can still win the nomination - even with a Granite State loss.

"With two other New Englanders in the race, he has to do well but he doesn't have to win,'' Dukakis said. "This one is a long-distance race. You want to do well in Iowa and New Hampshire, but it's what happens afterwards that's critical.''
With all due respect to a good man, I think Dukakis is just wrong on this. He's saying the Kerry could lose Iowa and NH to Dean and still win the nomination? Hard to imagine. If Dean goes 2-0 in the Iowa and NH, the Dean Machine will get a new burst of enthusiasm, and money will pour in, while it dries up entirely for Kerry. The conventional wisdom is right for once--Kerry must win NH, or he's sunk (actually, I think he's been sunk ever since he voted for that senseless war).

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