Poll Vaulting into the New Hampshire Lead
Wow. Dean is officially in the lead by a significant margin. According to the latest ARG poll, Dean has a 28-21 lead over John Kerry with Gephardt trailing at a distant third with 10%.
Dean also has the largest favorability reading and the largest net positive reading (tied with Kerry on that latter point).
Other interesting points in the poll? The Draft Clark team needs a new media consultant. Their ads there have done nothing good, with Clark falling from 2% to 1% in a poll, his favorability rating staying the same at 16%, and his unfavorability rating quadrupling from 2% to 8%.
Joe Lieberman's attempt to become the anti-Dean appears to be backfiring, with his favorable rating falling from 49 to 33 and his unfavorable rating increasing from 18 to 37 in the last month. That means he went from a 31-point net positive to a 4-point net negative. Maybe he'll keep digging.
There really isn't much bad news for the Governor here. 32% are still undecided, but we've got time to do work with those folks, who are probably still anxious about committing so early. ARG attributes Dean's movement to his television ads. It also comes right after the letter-writing, so I'm sure we all played a part as well. Not to knock the media consultants, but we volunteers aren't going to let you get all the credit for a nine-point boost in the poll.
Dean also has the largest favorability reading and the largest net positive reading (tied with Kerry on that latter point).
Other interesting points in the poll? The Draft Clark team needs a new media consultant. Their ads there have done nothing good, with Clark falling from 2% to 1% in a poll, his favorability rating staying the same at 16%, and his unfavorability rating quadrupling from 2% to 8%.
Joe Lieberman's attempt to become the anti-Dean appears to be backfiring, with his favorable rating falling from 49 to 33 and his unfavorable rating increasing from 18 to 37 in the last month. That means he went from a 31-point net positive to a 4-point net negative. Maybe he'll keep digging.
There really isn't much bad news for the Governor here. 32% are still undecided, but we've got time to do work with those folks, who are probably still anxious about committing so early. ARG attributes Dean's movement to his television ads. It also comes right after the letter-writing, so I'm sure we all played a part as well. Not to knock the media consultants, but we volunteers aren't going to let you get all the credit for a nine-point boost in the poll.
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