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"America has two great dominant strands of political thought - conservatism, which, at its very best, draws lines that should not be crossed; and progressivism, which, at its very best, breaks down barriers that should never have been erected." -- Bill Clinton, Dedication of the Clinton Presidential Library, November 2004

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Tuesday, August 19, 2003


Poll Vaulting into the New Hampshire Lead

posted by Matt Singer at Tuesday, August 19, 2003 permalink View blog reactions
Wow. Dean is officially in the lead by a significant margin. According to the latest ARG poll, Dean has a 28-21 lead over John Kerry with Gephardt trailing at a distant third with 10%.

Dean also has the largest favorability reading and the largest net positive reading (tied with Kerry on that latter point).

Other interesting points in the poll? The Draft Clark team needs a new media consultant. Their ads there have done nothing good, with Clark falling from 2% to 1% in a poll, his favorability rating staying the same at 16%, and his unfavorability rating quadrupling from 2% to 8%.

Joe Lieberman's attempt to become the anti-Dean appears to be backfiring, with his favorable rating falling from 49 to 33 and his unfavorable rating increasing from 18 to 37 in the last month. That means he went from a 31-point net positive to a 4-point net negative. Maybe he'll keep digging.

There really isn't much bad news for the Governor here. 32% are still undecided, but we've got time to do work with those folks, who are probably still anxious about committing so early. ARG attributes Dean's movement to his television ads. It also comes right after the letter-writing, so I'm sure we all played a part as well. Not to knock the media consultants, but we volunteers aren't going to let you get all the credit for a nine-point boost in the poll.


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About Nation-Building

Nation-Building was founded by Aziz Poonawalla in August 2002 under the name Dean Nation. Dean Nation was the very first weblog devoted to a presidential candidate, Howard Dean, and became the vanguard of the Dean netroot phenomenon, raising over $40,000 for the Dean campaign, pioneering the use of Meetup, and enjoying the attention of the campaign itself, with Joe Trippi a regular reader (and sometime commentor). Howard Dean himself even left a comment once. Dean Nation was a group weblog effort and counts among its alumni many of the progressive blogsphere's leading talent including Jerome Armstrong, Matthew Yglesias, and Ezra Klein. After the election in 2004, the blog refocused onto the theme of "purple politics", formally changing its name to Nation-Building in June 2006. The primary focus of the blog is on articulating purple-state policy at home and pragmatic liberal interventionism abroad.