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"America has two great dominant strands of political thought - conservatism, which, at its very best, draws lines that should not be crossed; and progressivism, which, at its very best, breaks down barriers that should never have been erected." -- Bill Clinton, Dedication of the Clinton Presidential Library, November 2004

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Wednesday, December 17, 2003


Yet Another Sign....,1282,-3517628,00.html

posted by Trammell at Wednesday, December 17, 2003 permalink View blog reactions
...that Dean's death has yet again been greatly exaggerated. Dean is widening his lead in New Hampshire, and these results take into account the post GORE and the post THE CAPTURE picture. Yes, that's what I've come to call it -- have you seen the playing card graphics on FAUX news? -- it's a propaganda machine!
Poll Shows Dean Widening Lead in N.H.

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) - Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean leads Sen. John Kerry by 29 percent in New Hampshire, an increase of 7 points since a similar survey last month.

Dean leads the Massachusetts senator 46-17, according to a poll released Wednesday by television stations WMUR in Manchester and WCVB in Boston. Wesley Clark had 10 percent and Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman 7 percent.

Trailing were North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, 4 percent; Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, 3 percent; and Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich, former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun and Al Sharpton, 1 percent each. The number of undecided voters fell from 27 percent in November to 11 percent. Four out of five people surveyed said former Vice President Al Gore's endorsement of Dean would have little influence on their decision.

The telephone poll of 447 likely voters was conducted Dec. 10-15 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
When the poll began, THE CAPTURE hadn't happened, but clearly over the course of those days opinions didn't seem to shift. Can't wait to see the metrics on this one -- if I find more data, I'll do an update.

SOMEWHAT-RELATED UPDATE: Wayne points out at Points West this tidbit from master-pollster Gallup on the news that 45 percent would still vote for Bush regardless, and 43 percent would vote against Bush, period: "The fact that there is no immediate self-awareness of a change in position on Bush suggests the need for caution in assumptions that Sunday's events are going to recast the election in any substantial way."


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About Nation-Building

Nation-Building was founded by Aziz Poonawalla in August 2002 under the name Dean Nation. Dean Nation was the very first weblog devoted to a presidential candidate, Howard Dean, and became the vanguard of the Dean netroot phenomenon, raising over $40,000 for the Dean campaign, pioneering the use of Meetup, and enjoying the attention of the campaign itself, with Joe Trippi a regular reader (and sometime commentor). Howard Dean himself even left a comment once. Dean Nation was a group weblog effort and counts among its alumni many of the progressive blogsphere's leading talent including Jerome Armstrong, Matthew Yglesias, and Ezra Klein. After the election in 2004, the blog refocused onto the theme of "purple politics", formally changing its name to Nation-Building in June 2006. The primary focus of the blog is on articulating purple-state policy at home and pragmatic liberal interventionism abroad.