Election Prediction thread
Electoral vote: Kerry at 300+. I think the surge in new voter registration is breaking hs way decisively in teh swing states.
Popular vote: tough call. Kerry majority, but if the spread is less than 5 points, be prepared for an onslaught of GOP litigation. I don't expect the spread to exceed 7 points in a best-case scenario. I think a 2-point spread, and ensuing legal challenge, is the most likely.
controversial picks: Ohio: Kerry. New Mexico: Bush. Florida: Bush. Wisconsin: Kerry.
Your thoughts? Nows your last chance to be seen as the future Zogby :)
Popular vote: tough call. Kerry majority, but if the spread is less than 5 points, be prepared for an onslaught of GOP litigation. I don't expect the spread to exceed 7 points in a best-case scenario. I think a 2-point spread, and ensuing legal challenge, is the most likely.
controversial picks: Ohio: Kerry. New Mexico: Bush. Florida: Bush. Wisconsin: Kerry.
Your thoughts? Nows your last chance to be seen as the future Zogby :)
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